張欣民教授學術專題演講106/10/03

  • 2017-10-25
  • 楊 文敏

國立政治大學統計學系
     
主講人:張欣民助理教授(成功大學統計系)
題  目:Ergodicity and Approximation of the Conditional Causation Probability
                 of Engineering Systems

       間:民國1061030 (星期一) 下午130 
       點:國立政治大學逸仙樓050101教室
       要:
             In this talk, we report on the ergodicity of and the approach to approximate the conditional causation probabilities and the conditional cause of failure probabilities via finite Markov chains. This is significant because they provide additional important information to the failure distribution of a system. They especially provide information about the reliability for an aged system.  Assisted by a fast algorithm, we demonstrate to readers how to obtain the probabilities and verify our theoretical derivations. The paper should be of interest to a broad range of audiences, including academic researchers and reliability system engineers. This work is a continuation of that entitled "Distributions and causation probabilities of multiple-run-rules and their applications in system reliability, quality control and start-up tests" which has already been accepted for publication.